According to the forecast of the Institute for Agricultural Market Studies (IKAR), the export of domestic agro products in 2018 will increase by 10% to $ 22.4 billion in value terms. IKAR Director General Dmitry Rylko told about this at the IX International Conference 'Where the Margin' (in 2017 agricultural commodities were exported for $ 20.3 billion, + 19% by 2015).
At the same time, it will continue to grow and import. So, if last year agricultural products were imported by $ 28.6 billion, or 15% more than a year earlier, then in 2018, supply will increase by about 7% to $ 30.8 billion. "If the ruble is not will collapse, will remain relatively stable, then the growth in imports will continue," the expert said.
According to Rylko, one should be calm about increasing the import of agricultural goods. World experience shows that even the leaders of world food exports import significant amounts to their countries. Much more important, according to the expert, is the question of the ratio of exports and imports in tons and in money. Last year Russia exported 64 billion tons of agricultural products for $ 20 billion, and imported 22 billion tons for almost $ 29 billion. "This shows that our exports are huge but cheap," said Dmitry Rylko. "It is necessary to pay attention to this fact, and to try to balance these indicators, it is necessary to export products with higher added value."
In the long term, until 2025, Russia should significantly increase the export of a number of positions. According to Anatoly Kutsenko, Director of the Department of Economics, Investments and Market Regulation of the Ministry of Agriculture of Russia, the main export commodities will be pork and soybean oil, in addition to traditional cereals and sunflower oil. "By 2025, we have to increase the supply of cereals abroad by at least 10 million tons, 30% of vegetable oil and meal," he said at the conference. Export of rape, soybean oil should triple - to $ 0.76 billion and $ 1.04 billion in value terms. As for meat, the delivery of pork in seven years will actually increase to $ 1.1 billion, beef and poultry - to more than $ 0.5 billion.
Source: dairynews.ru.
